All stats taken from KenPom.com, the Polls, and the school's sites. RPI from RealTimeRPI.com
For reference, there are 347 teams in the NCAA
Record: 15-9, 6-6
KenPom Rank: 61
RPI: 48
AP/USA Today Rank: NR
Strength of Schedule (KenPom/RealTime): 22/16
Tempo: 66.3 (236)
Offensive Ratings (Rank)
Points Per Game: 70.1
Efficiency: 105.4 (111)
Effective FG%: 49.3 (144)
Turnover %: 20.2 (154)
Off. Rebound %: 37.8 (27)
FTA/FGA: 31.6 (307)
3%: 29.3 (322)
2%: 52 (36)
FT%: 63 (319)
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3: 24.8 (222)
2: 58.4 (32)
FT: 16.8 (328)
Defensive Ratings (Rank)
Points Per Game: 64.9
Efficiency: 91.2 (37)
Effective FG%: 45.5 (47)
Turnover %: 17.6 (322)
Off. Rebound %: 28.2 (26)
FTA/FGA: 35.3 (124)
3%: 32.4 (96)
2%: 44 (41)
Block %: 9 (160)
Steal %: 8.2 (289)
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3: 28.1 (126)
2: 51.3 (193)
FT: 20.5 (199)
Statistical Leaders
Points (top 3): Lance Stephenson 12 Deonta Vaughn 11.5 Yancy Gates 10.3
Rebounds (top 3): Yancy Gates 6.5 Lance Stephenson 5.2 Rashad Bishop 4.8
Assists (top 2): Deonta Vaughn 3.5 Lance Stephenson 2.5
Blocks: Yancy Gates 1
Record: 15-9, 5-7
KenPom Rank: 63
RPI: 56
AP/USA Today Rank: NR
Strength of Schedule (KenPom/RealTime): 13/42
Tempo: 65.4
Offensive Ratings (Rank)
Points Per Game: 68.9
Efficiency: 107.8 (77)
Effective FG%: 48.6 (174)
Turnover %: 18.6 (75)
Off. Rebound %: 34.9 (100)
FTA/FGA: 44.6 (41)
3%: 29.3 (321)
2%: 50.4 (85)
FT%: 67.2 (222)
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3: 19.8 (323)
2: 56.5 (50)
FT: 23.6 (56)
Defensive Ratings (Rank)
Points Per Game: 65.6
Efficiency: 93.6 (64)
Effective FG%: 47.1 (98)
Turnover %: 18.6 (280)
Off. Rebound %: 33.7 (210)
FTA/FGA: 34.3 (103)
3%: 32.6 (110)
2%: 46.4 (116)
Block %: 8.5 (191)
Steal %: 10.2 (138)
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3: 25.1 (235)
2: 56.1 (46)
FT: 18.7 (275)
Statistical Leaders
Points (top 3): Dominique Jones 21.6 Gus Gilchrist 17.4 Jarrid Famous 11.6
Rebounds (top 3): Jarrid Famous 7.8 Gus Gilchrist 7 Dominique Jones 6.3
Assists (top 2): Dominique Jones 4.3 Chris Howard 3.6
Blocks: Gus Gilchrist 1.2
Gilchrist adds a whole new level to the USF team. He had 7-4 against Marquette Saturday, but he looks to be a handful for Steve Toyloy and Yancy Gates tonight. Chris Howard had 16-10 against UC the first time, and along with Gilchrist and the electric Jones, we shouldn't forget about him. Jarrid Famous gave UC some trouble in the first meeting, and Yancy Gates in foul trouble. Toyloy went for 9-8, but those kinds of efforts aren't really seen from the big man.
This is an important game for these two. As the season winds down, games against teams that are mirror images of you are games you have to win. USF is just as horrible as UC when it comes to shooting 3s, and that's something we have to keep in check. UC needs to try and get the same high quality looks they got the first time. With Stephenson back in the fold, I think they could. Jaquan Parker played good defense on Jones the first time, and I'm interested to see who ends up on him. The Bearcats can't let him get off and torch them. I think Jones will end up with 24, Gilchrist 10-5, Famous 15-9, and for UC Stephenson 13-7, Vaughn 15, and Bishop with 11-8. With the effort the Cats gave against UConn, it seems they believe that they can win the tough road games. I hope that carries over tonight. I think USF is going to be game for one of the biggest contests at the Sun Dome in years, but I think UC will be too much.
Prediction: Cincinnati 70 USF 68
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